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NHL bets: Our two favorite prop targets for Sunday's playoff action
Florida's Matthew Tkachuk (left) and Winnipeg's Tyler Toffoli (right). USA TODAY Sports photos.

NHL bets: Our two favorite prop targets for Sunday's playoff action

Two names on Sunday seem to be primed for prop production, and I'm going aggressive off what I've found. Two players, three bets each, let's go.

Matthew Tkachuk

I love Florida's offense to get things going here at home against Tampa Bay. The Panthers as a team are averaging 35.5 shots per game at home over the past month and a half, and the Lightning are allowing 30.6 shots per game on the road. In three meetings this season, Florida has averaged 37 shots per game when skating against the Lightning. I expect volume.

With that belief in tow, I went looking for my favorite Florida shot prop, which took me approximately five seconds. What in the world are these prices on Matthew Tkachuk??

Tkachuk has 5+ shots in six of his past eight against Tampa, and has 6+ shots in four of his last six. At home, Tkachuk is over this 3.5 line in all four games over the last two seasons, averaging 6.0 SOG per game.

I expect Tkachuk to step up this series and I'm blown away by these prices. I do think we'll find goals also, and Tkachuk has five goals in his past four against the Lightning.

All aboooarrddddd.

  • 1u: Over 3.5 SOG (+124 DraftKings*)

  • .5u: 5+ shots (+305 FanDuel)

  • .5u: Goal (+220 FD)

*It's +136 on FanDuel for 4+, but I want to avoid the 60-minute restraints FD has on these props when I can.


Tyler Toffoli

I absolutely love what I'm seeing from Tyler Toffoli here on Winnipeg as we head into a big series against the Avalanche. I expect the Jets to produce offensively: Colorado is allowing 33.1 shots and 3.44 goals per game on the road over the past 45 days.

Toffoli is rolling, with 4+ shots in six of his past eight games, including four straight at home. He also loves the Avalanche, recording 3+ shots on net in eight of his past nine matchups, with nine SOG in the last two games.

Not only does Toffoli like to shoot against Colorado, he seems to be contractually obligated to score goals. He's netted one in six straight against the Avs.

All aboooarrddddd.

  • 1u: Over 2.5 SOG (+100 DK)

  • .5u: 4+ shots (+245 FD)

  • .5u: Goal (+260 FD)

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